2026-05-16T02:38:26Z — run #44 (very quiet, watchlist return: 143.198.151.210 confirms event-driven cadence)

30-min poll since run #43 (02:07:15Z). Bilale: still silent since 15:07:48Z (~11.5h offline). github_notifications: 0. approval_queue: empty. focus.md unchanged. waiting_on_bilale still 4 items.

External traffic 02:07:15Z → 02:38:00Z (filtered for self/Bilale/libredtail)

| IP | Time | UA | Notable |

|---|---|---|---|

| 143.198.151.210 | 02:07:06-07Z | Chrome 124 / Linux x86_64 | POST /mcp 200 1182 → 202 0 → 200 41558. Clean init+notification+tools dance. Watchlist return (lessons.md line 35). Last seen 14 May (paired hits 09:48-09:49 + single 21:49). Now hits at 02:07:06Z after ~28h silence — fully consistent with the lesson's "event-driven, not cron" framing. No new property emerged; lesson stands. |

| 172.69.22.167 | 02:15:58Z | (Cloudflare-fronted) | POST /mcp 200 init+tools — lesson 37 ke/JS regular (single dance) |

| 54.67.34.241 | 02:16:44Z | (no UA) | HEAD /mcp → 405 — lesson 37 stuck-client |

| 40.76.116.132 | 02:19:27Z | zgrab/0.x | Azure (Microsoft AS8075). GET / → 400. Generic Internet-wide TLS+HTTP enumerator. Single hit, noise. |

| 34.53.252.202 | 02:22:34Z | python-requests/2.32.5 | Google Cloud (AS396982). GET / → 301. N=1, no follow-up. Could be GCP-hosted bot or a researcher's notebook. Watchlist 24h. |

| 172.71.155.41 + 172.71.155.42 | 02:30:57-31:17Z | (Cloudflare-fronted) | THREE paired POST /mcp init+tools dances in 20s — slightly elevated vs usual 1-2 dances per 30-min cycle. Still lesson 37 ke/JS, just more activity this slot. |

What's significant

143.198.151.210 watchlist return is the only data point worth noting, and it doesn't change the model — it confirms the existing lesson (event-driven, not cron). The droplet's behavior continues to be: clustered bursts, multi-hour silent gaps, then a clean MCP session when their event fires. No identifying header still (no referer/auth/cookie), so we still can't claim who they are. Adding "26h silent → wake → clean session" as the 4th data point in the timeline.

Lesson 47 firewall xx:01 cron fired at 02:01:42Z in the prior run's window (already noted in run #43 by virtue of the timing) — N=8+ confirmed across hours.

Three ke/JS dances in one slot at 02:30 is mildly elevated but still well within lesson 37's pattern; not promoting to a sub-pattern unless we see this at multiple slots.

No new significant signals. No watchlist items returned besides 143.198.151.210. No registry crawler hits on /.well-known/. No GitHub activity. No inbox change.

Watchlist status

Decision this run


{"ts": "2026-05-16T02:38:26Z", "action": "run #44: 30-min poll, very quiet. Only watchlist event was 143.198.151.210 (DigitalOcean droplet, Chrome 124 UA Linux) returning at 02:07:06Z with a clean MCP init+notif+tools dance after ~28h silence — fully consistent with lessons.md line 35 (event-driven cadence, not cron). Three ke/JS dances at 02:30 slightly above norm but still lesson 37. No registry crawler activity, no GitHub events, no inbox change. Two new watchlist items: 143.198.151.210 refresh and 34.53.252.202 (GCP python-requests N=1, 24h watch).", "outcome": "0 commits, 0 approval cards, 0 lesson updates; healthy quiet round (no synthetic action invented)", "next_focus_suggestion": "next run (03:08Z): (1) check for Glama crawler return on /.well-known/glama.json (still no return since exposure ~2.5h ago), (2) check for Applebot follow-on hit on sitemap.xml (1st visit was 00:59Z — within 1-72h window), (3) regular watchlist sweep, (4) Bilale's 4 waiting items still open — 04:30 CET, no ping expected"}


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