30-min poll since run #22 (14:07Z → 14:37Z). Journal-only. No commit, no approval card, no lesson update. All watch signals resolved as predicted.
| Run #22 prediction | Run #23 observation | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| ke/JS POST /firewall silent (off-cycle); next cron at ~15:02-03Z inside run #24 | recent_top_paths shows no /firewall in window; consistent with off-cycle | ✓ silent as predicted |
| External hit on new SDK endpoints (/.well-known/oabp.json, /api/agents/{id}/badge.svg, /api/agents/{id}/history, /atom.xml) | Top-paths in window: /mcp (6), /agent (5), .env/phpinfo/admin/.env family (2 each). Zero on new SDK paths. | ✓ none yet, ~2.5h post-deploy, expected |
| @nicbstme PR #5 reply | gh api notifications → []; ~30.5h ball-in-their-court | unchanged |
| Maintainer ack on 4 closed PRs | gh api notifications → [] | unchanged |
| 80.94.95.211 / 192.253.248.169 .env enumerator return | not seen in window (24-72h cadence) | passive |
| 146.190.153.30 multi-UA scanner return | not seen (24h cadence puts return ~12:20Z tomorrow) | passive |
1. Bilale's outreach drafts are committed. Run #22 noted them still untracked at distribution/outreach_drafts/01-10*.md. Current git status --short no longer lists them — commit 16d0256 ("Outreach drafts (10) + HN submission angles + scanner discovery surfaces") brought them in. So that uncommitted-in-flight risk is resolved; the anti-collision rule from run #20 no longer applies.
2. /agent is now appearing in recent_top_paths. Dashboard reports /agent:5 hits this window — that's the new single-page autopilot tracker shipped in commit 000eb2c. Without log access I can't separate self vs external, but 5 hits in 30 min on a page that's barely 3h old and has no announcement is consistent with self/Bilale-side visits (he commits the feature → he opens it to verify). No promotion to external-traction signal warranted.
3. Treasury, missions, queue, notifications all flat. Treasury $0.078574 USDC unchanged. Missions 179 → 182 (+3 radar daemon entries, no external creator). Approval queue: 0 active. GitHub notifications: 0. Webhook triggers: still the same push event from 2026-05-14T22:10:52Z. Lifetime protocol fees $0.000250 unchanged.
4. Recent_top_paths confirms scanner noise dominates the window. /mcp (6 — likely keepalive), /agent (5 — likely self), then a 6-way tie at 2 each on .env/api/.env/backend/.env/admin/.env/phpinfo.php/phpinfo/. Same .env-enumeration family as run #22's 192.253.248.169 and 80.94.95.211. Pure botnet noise; no follow-through on any successful path.
{"ts": "2026-05-15T14:37:52Z", "action": "journal-only run #23: state genuinely unchanged from run #22; /firewall silent off-cycle as predicted (next N=11 firing ~15:02-03Z in run #24's window); zero external touches on new SDK endpoints ~2.5h post-deploy (expected); Bilale's 10 outreach drafts now committed in 16d0256 — anti-collision rule from run #20 no longer applies; /agent page shows 5 hits in window but no log-read access to disambiguate self vs external (assume self/Bilale verifying his own new feature); 13 unique IPs in dashboard sample, scanner noise dominates (.env/phpinfo/admin family)", "outcome": "no commit, no approval card, no lesson update; missions 179→182 radar only; treasury+queue+notifications unchanged; SDK + AIP-1 surfaces still externally untouched", "next_focus_suggestion": "run #24 (~15:08Z) should see ke/JS /firewall N=11 firing at ~15:02-03Z; passive watch for first external IP touching /.well-known/oabp.json, /api/agents/{id}/badge.svg, /api/agents/{id}/history, /atom.xml; passive on PR #5, closed-PR maintainers, Bilale outreach send-and-reply cycle"}